Securitas Financial Group Website Blog Behavioural Finance How to Keep Emotions in Check During a Volatile Market

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Behavioural Finance: How to Keep Emotions in Check During a Volatile Market

As the festive season draws near, many South Africans start picturing year-end celebrations, festive treats, or that anticipated bonus before it even lands in the bank. Curiously, the same emotional impulses that spark festive overspending can also influence how we manage our investments. 

Markets are driven by many factors such as economic policy shifts, global events,  and commodity cycles, but often the real threat comes from within: our own behaviour. This is precisely where behavioural finance offers insightful guidance. It studies how emotions and psychological biases influence financial choices and how understanding them can mean the difference between long-term growth and avoiding losses. 

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Emotional Traps in Investing

Take the unpredictable environment of March 2020, when markets around the globe tumbled. Many South African investors reacted in panic, pulling out of equity funds, only to miss the sharp rebound a few months later. This situation illustrates the grip of two powerful emotions: fear, which compels us to sell at the worst moments, and greed, which drives us to chase short-term gains without regard for value.  Recent research highlights how damaging this behaviour can be. Momentum Investments recorded a 47.6% increase in switching activity in 2024, with investors losing significant returns as a result of poor timing, what they call a “behaviour tax” (Moonstone, 2024). 

Behavioural finance

Psychological Biases at Play

Behavioural finance identifies recurring psychological traps. Loss aversion causes investors to fear losses more intensely than they value equivalent gains, often leading to premature selling. Herd mentality encourages people to follow the crowd, buying after markets rise and selling once they fall. Recency bias places undue weight on recent events, like a sudden depreciation in the rand, while overconfidence fuels the belief that one can consistently time the market. 

These biases are not only evident locally. A 2024 survey of affluent investors by Cerulli Associates found that 88% admitted to availability bias, 78% to confirmation bias, 67% to recency and loss aversion, and nearly 60% to overconfidence (Barron’s, 2024). 

Closer to home, Momentum data shows that men are more prone to frequent trading and overconfidence, paying a behaviour tax of almost 4% annually, while women, who switch less often, achieve higher long-term outcomes (EBnet, 2024). 

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The South African Context

Our markets reflect a unique blend of local and international pressures. Load shedding, interest rate changes from the South African Reserve Bank, and shifting government policies constantly interact with global commodity cycles, US Federal Reserve decisions, and geopolitical events.  The long-running DALBAR study continues to show how investor behaviour underperforms the markets. In 2023, average equity investors lagged benchmarks by as much as 5.5%, due almost entirely to poor timing decisions (Daily Investor, 2023; Anchor Capital, 2023). 

Partnering with a financial advisor

Keeping Emotional Investing in Check

Behavioural finance does not suggest emotions can be eliminated, but rather that they can be managed. Having a clearly defined investment plan, aligned with long-term goals, realistic risk tolerance, and an appropriate time horizon, provides a solid anchor in times of uncertainty. Diversifying across asset classes and geographies helps smooth out volatility and reduces the temptation to react to a single event. 

Equally important is committing to pre-set rules about when to buy or sell and resisting the urge to override them when emotions run high. Partnering with a financial advisor can also add a valuable buffer, offering rational guidance when headlines and sentiment turn volatile. Above all, investors benefit from focusing on fundamentals and maintaining a commitment to ongoing education, so that when shocks inevitably come, their response is measured rather than emotional. 

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Linking Back to the Festive Season

As South Africans approach the festive season, the temptation to act emotionally, whether in shopping or investing, intensifies. Just as impulse spending can create unmanageable debt, emotional investing can erode years of wealth. The principle is the same: decisions made in haste rarely align with long-term goals. 

Professional Financial Advisor

Final Thought

Markets will always rise and fall, but emotional mistakes can leave lasting scars on an investor’s financial journey. By recognising the role of fear, greed, and bias, and by adopting disciplined strategies, it is possible to withstand volatility and continue building towards long-term goals. 

If you would like support in navigating these challenges, reach out to Securitas® Financial Group for guidance from a professional financial advisor. A steady hand today can make all the difference tomorrow. 

Found this article insightful? Consider reading Why You Need a Financial Advisor and The Significance of Having a Valid Will. 

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